This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 53% to break even | 27%–86% | 7 points betterwon 60%, needs 53% | 47.8rushing yards |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 53% to break even | 13%–56% | 23 points shortwon 30%, needs 53% | 43.4rushing yards |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 53% to break even | 28%–67% | 7 points shortwon 47%, needs 53% | 47.9rushing yards |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 53% to break even | 27%–100% | 47 points betterwon 100%, needs 53% | 59rushing yards |
| Last season |
Tonight MIN plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against IND. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 5 of 8 at home. Tonight: IND allows 95.8 rushing yards a game to running backs, the 14th most of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 89.6). How IND defends running backs
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Rushing yards in each game against over 48.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| 26%–64% |
| 10 points shortwon 44%, needs 53% |
| 47.4rushing yards |
| Every game | 8 of 1747%needs 53% to break even | 29%–66% | 6 points shortwon 47%, needs 53% | 48.1rushing yards |
| 59 |
| +10.5 |
| Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 94 | +45.5 | Won | |
| Wk 16 | 5 | -43.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 | 29 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Wk 14 | 52 | +3.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 | 47 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 12 | 42 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Wk 11 | 45 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Wk 10 | 25 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 | 36 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Wk 8 | 3 | -45.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 | 57 | +8.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 | 52 | +3.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | 57 | +8.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | 116 | +67.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 30 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 68 | +19.5 | Won |
| -113at DraftKings |
| 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 53% to break even3 of 8 at home |
| -19.3Not beating its price |
| Under 48.5 rushing yardsJordan Mason · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed out | -114at FanDuel | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 53% to break even3 of 8 at home | -15.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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