This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 53% to break even | 27%–86% | 7 points betterwon 60%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 53% to break even | 35%–81% | 7 points betterwon 60%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 53% to break even | 46%–83% | 13 points betterwon 67%, needs 53% |
| This season | 2 of 450%needs 53% to break even | 18%–82% | 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% |
| Last season | 9 of 1464%needs 53% to break even | 43%–81% | 11 points betterwon 64%, needs 53% |
Tonight MIN plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against IND. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against under 43.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 39.5 receiving yardsJordan Addison |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 receptionsJordan Addison |
| Every game | 11 of 1861%needs 53% to break even | 42%–77% | 8 points betterwon 61%, needs 53% |
| 90 |
| -46.5 |
| Lost |
| Wk 2 | 21 | +22.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 0 | +43.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 8 | +35.5 | Won | |
| Wk 17 | 0 | +43.5 | Won |
| Wk 16 | 26 | +17.5 | Won |
| Wk 15 | 66 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Wk 14 | 62 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 | 36 | +7.5 | Won |
| Wk 12 | 0 | +43.5 | Won |
| Wk 11 | 20 | +23.5 | Won |
| Wk 10 | 35 | +8.5 | Won |
| Wk 9 | 48 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Wk 8 | 26 | +17.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 | 128 | -84.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 | 41 | +2.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | 114 | -70.5 | Lost |
| -126at Kalshi |
| 6 of 14· last season43%needs 56% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -28.7Not beating its price |
| Over 43.5 receiving yardsJordan Addison · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -113at BetRivers | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 53% to break even | -27.6Not beating its price |
| Over 44.5 receiving yardsJordan Addison · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -109at DraftKings | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 52% to break even | -26.9Not beating its price |
| Over 49.5 receiving yardsJordan Addison · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 45% to break even | -22.8Not beating its price |
| Over 59.5 receiving yardsJordan Addison · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 4 of 14· last season29%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +152at Kalshi |
| 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 40% to break even |
| -7.5Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 receptionsJordan Addison · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -132at DraftKings | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 57% to break even | -16.5Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 receptionsJordan Addison · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +123at BetRivers | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 45% to break even | -21.9Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 receptionsJordan Addison · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -199at Kalshi | 7 of 14· last season50%needs 67% to break even | Record is last season's | -35.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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