This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 6% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 6% to break even | 0%–35% | 6 points shortwon 0%, needs 6% |
| Last 10 games | 0 of 60%needs 6% to break even | 0%–31% | 6 points shortwon 0%, needs 6% |
| Last 15 games | 0 of 60%needs 6% to break even | 0%–31% | 6 points shortwon 0%, needs 6% |
| This season | 0 of 60%needs 6% to break even | 0%–31% | 6 points shortwon 0%, needs 6% |
| Every game | 0 of 60%needs 6% to break even | 0%–31% | 6 points shortwon 0%, needs 6% |
Tonight IND plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against MIN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Tonight: MIN allows 0.4 touchdowns a game to running backs, the 4th fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 0.9): a tough matchup for this bet. How MIN defends running backs
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every Seth McGowan game, newest first: whether McGowan scored a touchdown.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 13.5 rushing yardsSeth McGowan · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | -114at FanDuel | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 53% to break even | -8.1Not beating its price | ||
| Under 13.5 rushing yardsSeth McGowan · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | -114at FanDuel | 2 of 6· last 10 games, 4 skipped33%needs 53% to break even | -24.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.