This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 52% to break even | 27%–86% | 8 points betterwon 60%, needs 52% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 52% to break even | 27%–73% | 2 points shortwon 50%, needs 52% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 52% to break even | 22%–61% | 12 points shortwon 40%, needs 52% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 52% to break even | 22%–78% | 2 points shortwon 50%, needs 52% |
| Last season | 9 of 1850%needs 52% to break even | 32%–68% | 2 points shortwon 50%, needs 52% |
| Every game | 12 of 2450%needs 52% to break even | 34%–66% | 2 points shortwon 50%, needs 52% |
Tonight GB plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against DET. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
GB 1H points in each game against under 10.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | GB 1H points | Beat 10.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 17 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 14 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 10 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 24 | 7 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 7 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 19 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 10 | 21 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | 0 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 14 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 6 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 16 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 14 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 27 | 17 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 10 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | 13 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 10 | 0 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 6 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 7 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 19 | 6 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 12 | 10 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 28 | 13 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 21 | 3 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Sep 11 | 14 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 7 | 17 | -6.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 10.5 1st half team totalGreen Bay Packers · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -119at Polymarket | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 54% to break even | -22.0Not beating its price | ||
| Over 12.5 1st half team totalGreen Bay Packers · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 55% to break even | -22.3Not beating its price | ||
| Over 13.5 1st half team totalGreen Bay Packers · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 46% to break even | -17.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.