This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 42% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 42% to break even | 44%–95% | 38 points betterwon 80%, needs 42% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 42% to break even | 19%–65% | 2 points shortwon 40%, needs 42% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 42% to break even | 33%–72% | 11 points betterwon 53%, needs 42% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 42% to break even | 35%–88% | 24 points betterwon 67%, needs 42% |
| Last season | 10 of 1856%needs 42% to break even | 37%–73% | 13 points betterwon 56%, needs 42% |
| Every game | 14 of 2458%needs 42% to break even | 42%–73% | 16 points betterwon 58%, needs 42% |
Tonight GB plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against DET. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against gb +1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat -1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 10 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 24 | +25.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 3 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Sep 24 | -21 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 3 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | -17 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 10 | -4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | -13 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | -17 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | -6 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | -8 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 7 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Nov 27 | 7 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | 17 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | 7 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Nov 10 | -3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | -3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 10 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Oct 19 | 4 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Oct 12 | 9 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Sep 28 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 21 | -3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 11 | 9 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Sep 7 | 14 | +15.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.