This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 50% to break even | 5%–56% | 30 points shortwon 20%, needs 50% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 50% to break even | 27%–73% | evenwon 50%, needs 50% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 50% to break even | 39%–78% | 10 points betterwon 60%, needs 50% |
| This season | 1 of 520%needs 50% to break even | 5%–56% | 30 points shortwon 20%, needs 50% |
| Last season | 11 of 1765%needs 50% to break even | 45%–81% | 14 points betterwon 65%, needs 50% |
| Every game |
Tonight DET plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against GB. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Rushing yards in each game against under 0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Rushing yards | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 5 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 rushing yardsJared Goff · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 interceptions thrownJared Goff |
| 38%–71% |
| 4 points betterwon 55%, needs 50% |
| 0 |
| +0.5 |
| Won |
| Wk 3 | 6 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 7 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 17 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 | -1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 15 | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 14 | -2 | +2.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 | 24 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Wk 12 | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 11 | -1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 10 | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 9 | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 | 7 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 | 7 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 | -2 | +2.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | 6 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 6 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | -1 | +1.5 | Won |
| -102at FanDuel |
| 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 50% to break even |
| -19.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -131at Kalshi |
| 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 57% to break even |
| -4.6Not beating its price |
| Under 25.5 completionsJared Goff · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 13 of 17· last season76%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.7Not beating its price |
| Over 299.5 passing yardsJared Goff · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 43% to break even | -14.9Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 passing TDsJared Goff · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 7 of 17· last season41%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.5Not beating its price |
| Over 36.5 pass attemptsJared Goff · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 52% to break even | -16.7Not beating its price |
| Under 274.5 passing yardsJared Goff · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 9 of 17· last season53%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.7Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 passing TDsJared Goff · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 38% to break even | -17.1Not beating its price |
| Over 277.5 passing yardsJared Goff · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -112at DraftKings | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 53% to break even | -18.3Not beating its price |
| Over 278.5 passing yardsJared Goff · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 53% to break even | -18.7Not beating its price |
| Under 279.5 passing yardsJared Goff · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -115at BetRivers | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.8Not beating its price |
| Under 249.5 passing yardsJared Goff · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 6 of 17· last season35%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.0Not beating its price |
| Over 279.5 passing yardsJared Goff · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -115at BetRivers | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 53% to break even | -21.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.