This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 39% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 39% to break even | 14%–73% | 1 points betterwon 40%, needs 39% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 39% to break even | 19%–65% | 1 points betterwon 40%, needs 39% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 39% to break even | 17%–54% | 5 points shortwon 33%, needs 39% |
| This season | 2 of 540%needs 39% to break even | 14%–73% | 1 points betterwon 40%, needs 39% |
| Last season | 5 of 1729%needs 39% to break even | 15%–49% | 9 points shortwon 29%, needs 39% |
| Every game |
Tonight DET plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against GB. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Passing TDs in each game against over 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Passing TDs | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 5 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 interceptions thrownJared Goff |
| 7 of 2232%needs 39% to break even |
| 18%–49% |
| 7 points shortwon 32%, needs 39% |
| Wk 4 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 17 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 15 | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 14 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 12 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 11 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 10 | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 9 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 5 | +2.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| -131at Kalshi |
| 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 57% to break even |
| -4.6Not beating its price |
| Under 25.5 completionsJared Goff · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 13 of 17· last season76%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.7Not beating its price |
| Over 299.5 passing yardsJared Goff · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 43% to break even | -14.9Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 rushing yardsJared Goff · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -102at DraftKings | 11 of 17· last season65%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.5Not beating its price |
| Under 274.5 passing yardsJared Goff · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 9 of 17· last season53%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.7Not beating its price |
| Over 36.5 pass attemptsJared Goff · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 53% to break even | -17.6Not beating its price |
| Over 277.5 passing yardsJared Goff · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -112at DraftKings | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 53% to break even | -18.3Not beating its price |
| Over 278.5 passing yardsJared Goff · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 53% to break even | -18.7Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 rushing yardsJared Goff · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -102at FanDuel | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 50% to break even | -19.5Not beating its price |
| Under 279.5 passing yardsJared Goff · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -115at BetRivers | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.8Not beating its price |
| Under 249.5 passing yardsJared Goff · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 6 of 17· last season35%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.0Not beating its price |
| Over 279.5 passing yardsJared Goff · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -115at BetRivers | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 53% to break even | -21.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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