This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 53% to break even | 27%–86% | 7 points betterwon 60%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 53% to break even | 44%–87% | 17 points betterwon 70%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1377%needs 53% to break even | 54%–90% | 24 points betterwon 77%, needs 53% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 53% to break even | 0%–73% | 53 points shortwon 0%, needs 53% |
| Last season | 10 of 1283%needs 53% to break even | 60%–94% | 30 points betterwon 83%, needs 53% |
Tonight GB plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against DET. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against under 19.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 14.5 receiving yardsSavion Williams |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 receptionsSavion Williams |
| Every game | 10 of 1377%needs 53% to break even | 54%–90% | 24 points betterwon 77%, needs 53% |
| +19.5 |
| Won |
| Wk 11 | 33 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Wk 10 | 2 | +17.5 | Won |
| Wk 9 | 12 | +7.5 | Won |
| Wk 8 | 8 | +11.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 | 0 | +19.5 | Won |
| Wk 6 | 0 | +19.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | 22 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 0 | +19.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 0 | +19.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 1 | +18.5 | Won |
| -191at Kalshi |
| 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 66% to break even |
| -40.2Not beating its price |
| Over 19.5 receiving yardsSavion Williams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable | -114at FanDuel | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 53% to break even | -31.2Not beating its price |
| Over 20.5 receiving yardsSavion Williams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable | -114at BetRivers | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 53% to break even | -31.2Not beating its price |
| Over 22.5 receiving yardsSavion Williams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable | -114at BetOnline | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 53% to break even | -33.9Not beating its price |
| Over 24.5 receiving yardsSavion Williams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable | +114at Kalshi | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 47% to break even | -29.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -137at DraftKings |
| 11 of 12· last season92%needs 58% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| 1.0Slight |
| Over 2.5 receptionsSavion Williams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable | +116at FanDuel | 2 of 10· last 10 games20%needs 46% to break even | -30.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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