This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 53% to break even | 14%–73% | 13 points shortwon 40%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 53% to break even | 13%–56% | 23 points shortwon 30%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1323%needs 53% to break even | 10%–46% | 30 points shortwon 23%, needs 53% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 53% to break even | 27%–100% | 47 points betterwon 100%, needs 53% |
| Last season | 2 of 1217%needs 53% to break even | 6%–40% | 37 points shortwon 17%, needs 53% |
| Every game |
Tonight GB plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against DET. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against over 20.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 14.5 receiving yardsSavion Williams |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 receptionsSavion Williams |
| 10%–46% |
| 30 points shortwon 23%, needs 53% |
| 0 |
| -20.5 |
| Lost |
| Wk 11 | 33 | +12.5 | Won |
| Wk 10 | 2 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 | 12 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Wk 8 | 8 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 | 0 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 | 0 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 | 22 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | 0 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 0 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 1 | -19.5 | Lost |
| +152at Kalshi |
| 10 of 12· last season83%needs 40% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| 6.3Good |
| Under 19.5 receiving yardsSavion Williams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable | -114at FanDuel | 10 of 12· last season83%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.5Not beating its price |
| Under 20.5 receiving yardsSavion Williams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable | -109at DraftKings | 10 of 12· last season83%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -2.7Not beating its price |
| Under 22.5 receiving yardsSavion Williams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable | -114at BetOnline | 11 of 12· last season92%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | 2.0Slight |
| Under 24.5 receiving yardsSavion Williams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable | -142at Kalshi | 11 of 12· last season92%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -1.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -137at DraftKings |
| 11 of 12· last season92%needs 58% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| 1.0Slight |
| Over 2.5 receptionsSavion Williams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable | +116at FanDuel | 2 of 10· last 10 games20%needs 46% to break even | -30.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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