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NFLPlayer propReceiving yards
Jameson Williams over 69.5 receiving yards
Won8 of 15last 15 games · 53%
Best price+159Kalshi
Price needs38.6%wins to break even
Every game9 of 22this season and last
Trend score-11.1Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 39% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 39% to break even | 5%–56% | 19 points shortwon 20%, needs 39% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 39% to break even | 27%–73% | 11 points betterwon 50%, needs 39% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 39% to break even | 33%–72% | 15 points betterwon 53%, needs 39% |
| This season | 1 of 520%needs 39% to break even | 5%–56% | 19 points shortwon 20%, needs 39% |
| Last season | 8 of 1747%needs 39% to break even | 29%–66% | 8 points betterwon 47%, needs 39% |
| Every game | 9 of 2241%needs 39% to break even | 26%–58% | 2 points betterwon 41%, needs 39% |
Games like tonight
Tonight DET plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against GB. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Jameson Williams over 69.5 receiving yards1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Receiving yards in each game against over 69.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 69.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 5 |  ARI | 47 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 |  CAR | 102 | +32.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 |  NYJ | 49 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  BUF | 33 | -36.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 |  NO | 45 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 |  CHI | 74 | +4.5 | Won |
| Wk 17 |  MIN | 37 | -32.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 |  PIT | 70 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 15 |  LAR | 134 | +64.5 | Won |
| Wk 14 |  DAL | 96 | +26.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 |  GB | 144 | +74.5 | Won |
| Wk 12 |  NYG | 0 | -69.5 | Lost |
| Wk 11 |  PHI | 88 | +18.5 | Won |
| Wk 10 |  WSH | 119 | +49.5 | Won |
| Wk 9 | MIN | 66 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 |  TB | 0 | -69.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 |  KC | 66 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 |  CIN | 9 | -60.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 |  CLE | 40 | -29.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 |  BAL | 43 | -26.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | CHI | 108 | +38.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | GB | 23 | -46.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 39.5 receiving yardsJameson Williams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET |  +166at Kalshi | 5 of 17· last season29%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.0Not beating its price | |
| Under 49.5 receiving yardsJameson Williams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 49% to break even | -16.9Not beating its price | ||
| Under 51.5 receiving yardsJameson Williams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET |  -115at BetMGM | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 53% to break even | -20.8Not beating its price | ||
| Under 54.5 receiving yardsJameson Williams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET |  -112at DraftKings | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 53% to break even | -20.2Not beating its price | ||
| Under 59.5 receiving yardsJameson Williams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 60% to break even | -25.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Jameson Williams in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 receptionsJameson Williams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET |  -135at BetOnline | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 57% to break even | -13.0Not beating its price | ||
| Over 4.5 receptionsJameson Williams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 39% to break even | -13.5Not beating its price | ||
| Scores a TDJameson Williams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 7 of 17· last season41%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.6Not beating its price | |
| Under 3.5 receptionsJameson Williams · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +111at DraftKings | 7 of 17· last season41%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.