This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 62% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 62% to break even | 27%–86% | 2 points shortwon 60%, needs 62% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 62% to break even | 27%–73% | 12 points shortwon 50%, needs 62% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 62% to break even | 28%–67% | 15 points shortwon 47%, needs 62% |
| This season | 3 of 560%needs 62% to break even | 27%–86% | 2 points shortwon 60%, needs 62% |
| Last season | 9 of 1753%needs 62% to break even | 34%–71% | 9 points shortwon 53%, needs 62% |
| Every game | 12 of 2255%needs 62% to break even | 38%–71% | 7 points shortwon 55%, needs 62% |
Tonight DET plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against GB. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against det to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 11 | 24 | +24 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET +0.5 2nd quarter spreadDetroit Lions · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET |
| Oct 4 | -6 | -6 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 7 | +7 | Won |
| Sep 17 | -10 | -10 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 1 | +1 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Dec 25 | -13 | -13 | Lost |
| Dec 21 | -5 | -5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 | -7 | -7 | Lost |
| Dec 4 | 14 | +14 | Won |
| Nov 27 | -7 | -7 | Lost |
| Nov 23 | 7 | +7 | Won |
| Nov 16 | -7 | -7 | Lost |
| Nov 9 | 22 | +22 | Won |
| Nov 2 | -3 | -3 | Lost |
| Oct 20 | 15 | +15 | Won |
| Oct 12 | -13 | -13 | Lost |
| Oct 5 | 13 | +13 | Won |
| Sep 28 | 24 | +24 | Won |
| Sep 22 | 8 | +8 | Won |
| Sep 14 | 31 | +31 | Won |
| Sep 7 | -14 | -14 | Lost |
| 15 of 17· last season88%needs 66% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -2.2Not beating its price |
| Over 54.5 game total, DET gamesDetroit Lions · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 49% to break even | -4.2Not beating its price |
| Over 52.5 game total, DET gamesDetroit Lions · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -123at Polymarket | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 55% to break even | -4.7Not beating its price |
| DET -0.5 2nd quarter spreadDetroit Lions · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 54% to break even | -5.1Not beating its price |
| Over 53.5 game total, DET gamesDetroit Lions · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | NV-106at Novig | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 51% to break even | -6.4Not beating its price |
| Over 50.5 game total, DET gamesDetroit Lions · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 62% to break even | -7.3Not beating its price |
| Over 51.5 game total, DET gamesDetroit Lions · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 59% to break even | -7.6Not beating its price |
| Over 28.5 2nd half totalDetroit Lions · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 45% to break even | -7.8Not beating its price |
| Over 56.5 game total, DET gamesDetroit Lions · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +131at Polymarket | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 43% to break even | -8.5Not beating its price |
| Over 58.5 game total, DET gamesDetroit Lions · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +162at Polymarket | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 38% to break even | -9.7Not beating its price |
| Over 49.5 game total, DET gamesDetroit Lions · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 65% to break even | -9.7Not beating its price |
| Over 55.5 game total, DET gamesDetroit Lions · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 46% to break even | -10.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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