This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 58% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 58% to break even | 27%–86% | 2 points betterwon 60%, needs 58% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 58% to break even | 27%–73% | 8 points shortwon 50%, needs 58% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 58% to break even | 22%–61% | 18 points shortwon 40%, needs 58% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 58% to break even | 35%–88% | 9 points betterwon 67%, needs 58% |
| Last season | 5 of 1729%needs 58% to break even | 15%–49% | 28 points shortwon 29%, needs 58% |
| Every game | 9 of 2339%needs 58% to break even | 24%–56% | 19 points shortwon 39%, needs 58% |
Tonight NYJ plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against MIA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 40.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 35.5 game total, NYJ gamesNew York Jets · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 9.5 1st half team totalNew York Jets · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |
| 45 |
| -4.5 |
| Lost |
| Oct 11 | 29 | +11.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 | 35 | +5.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 55 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 37 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 33 | +7.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | 43 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | 52 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Dec 21 | 35 | +5.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 | 68 | -27.5 | Lost |
| Dec 7 | 44 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 | 51 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Nov 23 | 33 | +7.5 | Won |
| Nov 13 | 41 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 | 47 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Oct 26 | 77 | -36.5 | Lost |
| Oct 19 | 19 | +21.5 | Won |
| Oct 12 | 24 | +16.5 | Won |
| Oct 5 | 59 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Sep 29 | 48 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 | 56 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Sep 14 | 40 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 7 | 66 | -25.5 | Lost |
| 13 of 17· last season76%needs 65% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -21.2Not beating its price |
| Over 36.5 game total, NYJ gamesNew York Jets · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 13 of 17· last season76%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.8Not beating its price |
| Over 37.5 game total, NYJ gamesNew York Jets · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 13 of 17· last season76%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.3Not beating its price |
| Over 38.5 game total, NYJ gamesNew York Jets · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 13 of 17· last season76%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.8Not beating its price |
| Over 39.5 game total, NYJ gamesNew York Jets · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | NV+104at Novig | 13 of 17· last season76%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.1Not beating its price |
| Over 40.5 game total, NYJ gamesNew York Jets · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 12 of 17· last season71%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.4Not beating its price |
| Over 41.5 game total, NYJ gamesNew York Jets · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 11 of 17· last season65%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.9Not beating its price |
| Over 44.5 game total, NYJ gamesNew York Jets · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 9 of 17· last season53%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 43% to break even |
| 11.3Strong |
| Under 10.5 1st half team totalNew York Jets · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 58% to break even | 10.0Strong |
| Under 24.5 team totalNew York Jets · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 66% to break even | -0.3Not beating its price |
| Under 17.5 team totalNew York Jets · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 34% to break even | -1.4Not beating its price |
| Under 20.5 team totalNew York Jets · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 48% to break even | -2.7Not beating its price |
| Under 21.5 team totalNew York Jets · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 50% to break even | -3.1Not beating its price |
| Under 22.5 team totalNew York Jets · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 54% to break even | -5.2Not beating its price |
| Over 10.5 4th quarter totalNew York Jets · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 12 of 17· last season71%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.5Not beating its price |
| Under 21.5 1st half totalNew York Jets · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 64% to break even | Record is this season's | -9.6Not beating its price |
| Over 13.5 4th quarter totalNew York Jets · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 9 of 17· last season53%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.5Not beating its price |
| Over 6.5 3rd quarter totalNew York Jets · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 66% to break even | -10.7Not beating its price |
| Under 17.5 1st half totalNew York Jets · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 49% to break even | Record is this season's | -11.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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