This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 58% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 58% to break even | 5%–56% | 38 points shortwon 20%, needs 58% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 58% to break even | 7%–46% | 38 points shortwon 20%, needs 58% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 58% to break even | 13%–48% | 31 points shortwon 27%, needs 58% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 58% to break even | 12%–65% | 24 points shortwon 33%, needs 58% |
| Last season | 7 of 1741%needs 58% to break even | 24%–61% | 17 points shortwon 41%, needs 58% |
| Every game | 9 of 2339%needs 58% to break even | 24%–56% | 19 points shortwon 39%, needs 58% |
Tonight NYJ plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against MIA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
NYJ points in each game against over 20.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | NYJ points | Beat 20.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 19 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 17 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 12 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 24 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 17 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 23 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | 8 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | 10 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 6 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 20 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 10 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 27 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | 10 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 13 | 14 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 27 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 39 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Oct 19 | 6 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 12 | 11 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 5 | 22 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 29 | 21 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 21 | 27 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Sep 14 | 10 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 7 | 32 | +11.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 17.5 team totalNew York Jets · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 34% to break even | -1.4Not beating its price | ||
| Under 20.5 team totalNew York Jets · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 48% to break even | -2.7Not beating its price | ||
| Under 21.5 team totalNew York Jets · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 50% to break even | -3.1Not beating its price | ||
| Under 22.5 team totalNew York Jets · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 54% to break even | -5.2Not beating its price | ||
| Under 24.5 team totalNew York Jets · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 66% to break even | -0.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.