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NFLGame lineSpread
NYJ -4.5 (spread)
Won2 of 6this season · 33%
Best price+102Novig
Price needs49.5%wins to break even
Every game3 of 23this season and last
Trend score-35.4Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 50% to break even | 5%–56% | 30 points shortwon 20%, needs 50% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 50% to break even | 7%–46% | 30 points shortwon 20%, needs 50% |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1520%needs 50% to break even | 8%–41% | 30 points shortwon 20%, needs 50% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 50% to break even | 12%–65% | 16 points shortwon 33%, needs 50% |
| Last season | 1 of 176%needs 50% to break even | 1%–23% | 44 points shortwon 6%, needs 50% |
| Every game | 3 of 2313%needs 50% to break even | 5%–29% | 36 points shortwon 13%, needs 50% |
Games like tonight
Tonight NYJ plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against MIA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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NYJ -4.5 (spread)17 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
- NVNovig+10249.5%BestBet ↗
- PINPinnacle-10250.5%−$4Bet ↗
- LVGLowVig-10350.7%−$5Bet ↗
Bovada-10551.2%−$7Bet ↗
Kalshi-10751.7%−$9Bet ↗- RBReBet-11052.4%−$11Bet ↗
BetUS-11052.4%−$11Bet ↗
BetOnline-11052.4%−$11Bet ↗- tStheScore Bet-11052.4%−$11Bet ↗
BetMGM-11052.4%−$11Bet ↗
MyBookie-11052.4%−$11Bet ↗
Hard Rock-11052.4%−$11Bet ↗
Fanatics-11052.4%−$11Bet ↗
Caesars-11353.1%−$14Bet ↗
DraftKings-11553.5%−$15Bet ↗- FLFliff-11553.5%−$15Bet ↗
FanDuel-11854.1%−$17Bet ↗
Every game behind it
Margin in each game against nyj -4.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 4.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 |  NE | -7 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 |  CLE | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 |  CHI | -11 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 |  DET | -7 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 |  GB | -3 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 |  TEN | 13 | +8.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 |  BUF | -27 | -31.5 | Lost |
| Dec 28 | NE | -32 | -36.5 | Lost |
| Dec 21 |  NO | -23 | -27.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 |  JAX | -28 | -32.5 | Lost |
| Dec 7 |  MIA | -24 | -28.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 |  ATL | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 23 |  BAL | -13 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Nov 13 | NE | -13 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 | CLE | 7 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 26 |  CIN | 1 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Oct 19 |  CAR | -7 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Oct 12 |  DEN | -2 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Oct 5 |  DAL | -15 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Sep 29 | MIA | -6 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 |  TB | -2 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Sep 14 | BUF | -20 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Sep 7 |  PIT | -2 | -6.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on New York Jets in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.