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NFLGame lineSpread
MIA +2.5 (spread)
Won8 of 17last season · 47%
Best price+140Kalshi
Price needs41.7%wins to break even
Every game8 of 22this season and last
Trend score-20.6Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 42% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 42% to break even | 0%–35% | 42 points shortwon 0%, needs 42% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 42% to break even | 7%–46% | 22 points shortwon 20%, needs 42% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 42% to break even | 22%–61% | 2 points shortwon 40%, needs 42% |
| This season | 0 of 50%needs 42% to break even | 0%–35% | 42 points shortwon 0%, needs 42% |
| Last season | 8 of 1747%needs 42% to break even | 29%–66% | 5 points betterwon 47%, needs 42% |
| Every game | 8 of 2236%needs 42% to break even | 22%–54% | 5 points shortwon 36%, needs 42% |
Games like tonight
Tonight MIA plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against NYJ. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
MIA +2.5 (spread)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Margin in each game against mia +2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat -2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 11 |  CIN | -7 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 |  MIN | -5 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 |  KC | -14 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 |  SF | -22 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 |  LV | -14 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 |  NE | -28 | -25.5 | Lost |
| Dec 28 |  TB | 3 | +5.5 | Won |
| Dec 21 | CIN | -24 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Dec 15 |  PIT | -13 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Dec 7 |  NYJ | 24 | +26.5 | Won |
| Nov 30 |  NO | 4 | +6.5 | Won |
| Nov 16 |  WSH | 3 | +5.5 | Won |
| Nov 9 |  BUF | 17 | +19.5 | Won |
| Oct 30 |  BAL | -22 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Oct 26 |  ATL | 24 | +26.5 | Won |
| Oct 19 |  CLE | -25 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Oct 12 |  LAC | -2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 5 |  CAR | -3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 29 | NYJ | 6 | +8.5 | Won |
| Sep 18 | BUF | -10 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Sep 14 | NE | -6 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 7 |  IND | -25 | -22.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on Miami Dolphins in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.