This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 43% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 43% to break even | 0%–35% | 43 points shortwon 0%, needs 43% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 43% to break even | 2%–35% | 33 points shortwon 10%, needs 43% |
| Last 15 games | 1 of 157%needs 43% to break even | 2%–25% | 36 points shortwon 7%, needs 43% |
| This season | 1 of 617%needs 43% to break even | 4%–50% | 26 points shortwon 17%, needs 43% |
| Last season | 0 of 170%needs 43% to break even | 0%–14% | 43 points shortwon 0%, needs 43% |
| Every game | 1 of 234%needs 43% to break even | 1%–17% | 38 points shortwon 4%, needs 43% |
Tonight NYJ plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against MIA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1H margin in each game against nyj 1h -4.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 9.5 1st half team totalNew York Jets · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |
| -14 |
| -18.5 |
| Lost |
| Oct 11 | 1 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | -10 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | -3 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 0 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 7 | +2.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | -21 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | -32 | -36.5 | Lost |
| Dec 21 | -3 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 | -21 | -25.5 | Lost |
| Dec 7 | -17 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 | 0 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Nov 23 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 13 | -7 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 | 0 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Oct 26 | -11 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Oct 19 | -7 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Oct 12 | -4 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Oct 5 | -20 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Sep 29 | -7 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 | -14 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Sep 14 | -17 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Sep 7 | 2 | -2.5 | Lost |
| 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 43% to break even |
| 11.3Strong |
| Under 10.5 1st half team totalNew York Jets · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 58% to break even | 10.0Strong |
| Under 24.5 team totalNew York Jets · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 66% to break even | -0.3Not beating its price |
| Under 17.5 team totalNew York Jets · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 34% to break even | -1.4Not beating its price |
| Under 20.5 team totalNew York Jets · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 48% to break even | -2.7Not beating its price |
| Under 21.5 team totalNew York Jets · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 50% to break even | -3.1Not beating its price |
| Over 10.5 4th quarter totalNew York Jets · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 12 of 17· last season71%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.7Not beating its price |
| Under 22.5 team totalNew York Jets · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 54% to break even | -5.2Not beating its price |
| Under 21.5 1st half totalNew York Jets · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 64% to break even | Record is this season's | -9.6Not beating its price |
| Under 17.5 1st half totalNew York Jets · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 48% to break even | Record is this season's | -10.5Not beating its price |
| Over 6.5 3rd quarter totalNew York Jets · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 66% to break even | -10.7Not beating its price |
| Over 44.5 game total, NYJ gamesNew York Jets · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 9 of 17· last season53%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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