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NFLGame line4th quarter total
Over 14.5 (4th quarter total)
Won7 of 15last 15 games · 47%
Best price+109Kalshi
Price needs47.8%wins to break even
Every game8 of 23this season and last
Trend score-21.5Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 48% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 48% to break even | 27%–86% | 12 points betterwon 60%, needs 48% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 48% to break even | 19%–65% | 8 points shortwon 40%, needs 48% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 48% to break even | 28%–67% | 1 points shortwon 47%, needs 48% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 48% to break even | 22%–78% | 2 points betterwon 50%, needs 48% |
| Last season | 5 of 1729%needs 48% to break even | 15%–49% | 18 points shortwon 29%, needs 48% |
| Every game | 8 of 2335%needs 48% to break even | 21%–52% | 13 points shortwon 35%, needs 48% |
Games like tonight
Tonight ATL plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against SF. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Over 14.5 (4th quarter total)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
4Q total points in each game against over 14.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 4Q total points | Beat 14.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 |  | |||
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 14.5 4th quarter totalAtlanta Falcons · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |
More on Atlanta Falcons in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL +0.5 1st half spreadAtlanta Falcons · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |
