Loading
NFLGame line1st quarter total
Over 10.5 (1st quarter total)
Won3 of 5last 5 games · 60%
Best price+146Kalshi
Price needs40.7%wins to break even
Every game8 of 23this season and last
Trend score-16.4Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 41% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 41% to break even | 27%–86% | 19 points betterwon 60%, needs 41% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 41% to break even | 19%–65% | 1 points shortwon 40%, needs 41% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 41% to break even | 22%–61% | 1 points shortwon 40%, needs 41% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 41% to break even | 22%–78% | 9 points betterwon 50%, needs 41% |
| Last season | 5 of 1729%needs 41% to break even | 15%–49% | 11 points shortwon 29%, needs 41% |
| Every game | 8 of 2335%needs 41% to break even | 21%–52% | 6 points shortwon 35%, needs 41% |
Games like tonight
Tonight ATL plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against SF. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Over 10.5 (1st quarter total)2 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
1Q total points in each game against over 10.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1Q total points | Beat 10.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 |  CHI | |||
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 7.5 1st quarter totalAtlanta Falcons · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |
More on Atlanta Falcons in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL +0.5 1st half spreadAtlanta Falcons · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |
