This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 64% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 64% to break even | 14%–73% | 24 points shortwon 40%, needs 64% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 64% to break even | 19%–65% | 24 points shortwon 40%, needs 64% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 64% to break even | 22%–61% | 24 points shortwon 40%, needs 64% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 64% to break even | 22%–78% | 14 points shortwon 50%, needs 64% |
| Last season | 8 of 1747%needs 64% to break even | 29%–66% | 17 points shortwon 47%, needs 64% |
| Every game | 11 of 2348%needs 64% to break even | 32%–64% | 16 points shortwon 48%, needs 64% |
Tonight ATL plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against SF. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
ATL 1H points in each game against under 13.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | ATL 1H points | Beat 13.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 7 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 14 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 5 | 24 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 24 | 17 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 3 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 7 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | 10 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 29 | 21 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 16 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 11 | 14 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 6 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 7 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | 16 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 21 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 14 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 14 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 3 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Oct 19 | 3 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Oct 13 | 21 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 28 | 17 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 21 | 0 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Sep 14 | 9 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Sep 7 | 10 | +3.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 10.5 1st half team totalAtlanta Falcons · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -109at Polymarket | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 52% to break even | -16.6Not beating its price | ||
| Over 13.5 1st half team totalAtlanta Falcons · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 44% to break even | -9.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.