This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 62% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 62% to break even | 14%–73% | 22 points shortwon 40%, needs 62% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 650%needs 62% to break even | 22%–78% | 12 points shortwon 50%, needs 62% |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 650%needs 62% to break even | 22%–78% | 12 points shortwon 50%, needs 62% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 62% to break even | 22%–78% | 12 points shortwon 50%, needs 62% |
| Every game | 3 of 650%needs 62% to break even | 22%–78% | 12 points shortwon 50%, needs 62% |
Tonight SF plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against ATL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Rushing yards in each game against over 24.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 19.5 rushing yardsKaelon Black |
| 25 |
| +0.5 |
| Won |
| Wk 1 | 65 | +40.5 | Won |
| +173at Kalshi |
| 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 37% to break even |
| -6.7Not beating its price |
| Under 24.5 rushing yardsKaelon Black · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETWithout Samuel (WR) | +114at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 47% to break even | -12.2Not beating its price |
| Under 28.5 rushing yardsKaelon Black · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETWithout Samuel (WR) | -109at DraftKings | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 52% to break even | -7.5Not beating its price |
| Under 29.5 rushing yardsKaelon Black · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETWithout Samuel (WR) | -110at BetRivers | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 52% to break even | -7.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.