This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 40% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 40% to break even | 5%–56% | 20 points shortwon 20%, needs 40% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 40% to break even | 13%–56% | 10 points shortwon 30%, needs 40% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 40% to break even | 17%–54% | 6 points shortwon 33%, needs 40% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 40% to break even | 12%–65% | 6 points shortwon 33%, needs 40% |
| Last season | 4 of 1724%needs 40% to break even | 11%–43% | 16 points shortwon 24%, needs 40% |
| Every game |
Tonight ATL plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against SF. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Rush attempts in each game against over 20.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 17.5 rush attemptsBijan Robinson |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 144.5 rush + rec yardsBijan Robinson |
| 14%–43% |
| 14 points shortwon 26%, needs 40% |
| 9 |
| -11.5 |
| Lost |
| Wk 5 | 17 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 | 19 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 29 | +8.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 16 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 21 | +0.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 15 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 17 | 22 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 16 | 16 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 | 19 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 14 | 20 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 | 23 | +2.5 | Won |
| Wk 12 | 14 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Wk 11 | 23 | +2.5 | Won |
| Wk 10 | 17 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 | 12 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Wk 8 | 9 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 | 14 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 | 19 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 | 17 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 13 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 22 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 12 | -8.5 | Lost |
| +109at Kalshi |
| 10 of 17· last season59%needs 48% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -15.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +189at Kalshi |
| 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 35% to break even |
| -7.8Not beating its price |
| Doesn't score a TDBijan Robinson · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 8 of 17· last season47%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.6Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 receptionsBijan Robinson · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +128at FanDuel | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 44% to break even | -11.1Not beating its price |
| Over 82.5 rushing yardsBijan Robinson · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -114at BetRivers | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 53% to break even | -15.5Not beating its price |
| Under 89.5 rushing yardsBijan Robinson · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 11 of 17· last season65%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.1Not beating its price |
| Under 24.5 receiving yardsBijan Robinson · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 47% to break even | -16.1Not beating its price |
| Over 109.5 rushing yardsBijan Robinson · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 34% to break even | -17.5Not beating its price |
| Under 4.5 receptionsBijan Robinson · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 65% to break even | -17.7Not beating its price |
| Under 25.5 receiving yardsBijan Robinson · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -105at Fanatics | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 51% to break even | -18.9Not beating its price |
| Over 83.5 rushing yardsBijan Robinson · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -110at DraftKings | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 52% to break even | -19.2Not beating its price |
| Over 79.5 rushing yardsBijan Robinson · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 58% to break even | -19.2Not beating its price |
| Under 99.5 rushing yardsBijan Robinson · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 12 of 17· last season71%needs 66% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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