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NFLPlayer propReceiving yards
Bijan Robinson under 24.5 receiving yards
Won4 of 5last 5 games · 80%
Best price+109Kalshi
Price needs47.8%wins to break even
Every game8 of 23this season and last
Trend score-17.0Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 48% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 48% to break even | 44%–95% | 32 points betterwon 80%, needs 48% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 48% to break even | 27%–73% | 2 points betterwon 50%, needs 48% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 48% to break even | 28%–67% | 1 points shortwon 47%, needs 48% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 48% to break even | 35%–88% | 19 points betterwon 67%, needs 48% |
| Last season | 4 of 1724%needs 48% to break even | 11%–43% | 24 points shortwon 24%, needs 48% |
| Every game | 8 of 2335%needs 48% to break even | 21%–52% | 13 points shortwon 35%, needs 48% |
Games like tonight
Tonight ATL plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against SF. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Bijan Robinson under 24.5 receiving yards1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Receiving yards in each game against under 24.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 24.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  CHI | -8 | +32.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 |  BAL | 32 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 |  NO | 2 | +22.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 |  GB | 19 | +5.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 |  CAR | 9 | +15.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 |  PIT | 90 | -65.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | NO | 10 | +14.5 | Won |
| Wk 17 |  LAR | 34 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 |  ARI | 92 | -67.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 |  TB | 82 | -57.5 | Lost |
| Wk 14 |  SEA | 8 | +16.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 |  NYJ | 51 | -26.5 | Lost |
| Wk 12 | NO | 37 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Wk 11 | CAR | 39 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Wk 10 |  IND | 4 | +20.5 | Won |
| Wk 9 |  NE | 50 | -25.5 | Lost |
| Wk 8 |  MIA | 23 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 |  SF | 52 | -27.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 |  BUF | 68 | -43.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 |  WSH | 106 | -81.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | CAR | 39 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  MIN | 25 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | TB | 100 | -75.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 24.5 receiving yardsBijan Robinson · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |  -137at Kalshi | 13 of 17· last season76%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.4Not beating its price | |
| Over 25.5 receiving yardsBijan Robinson · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |  -118at BetRivers | 12 of 17· last season71%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.7Not beating its price | |
| Over 26.5 receiving yardsBijan Robinson · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |  -114at DraftKings | 12 of 17· last season71%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Bijan Robinson in this game
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.