This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 53% to break even | 27%–86% | 7 points betterwon 60%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 53% to break even | 19%–65% | 13 points shortwon 40%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 53% to break even | 17%–54% | 20 points shortwon 33%, needs 53% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 53% to break even | 22%–78% | 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% |
| Last season | 4 of 1625%needs 53% to break even | 12%–45% | 28 points shortwon 25%, needs 53% |
| Every game | 7 of 2232%needs 53% to break even | 18%–49% | 21 points shortwon 32%, needs 53% |
Tonight ATL plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against SF. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against over 29.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 29.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 87 | +57.5 | Won | |
| Wk 5 | 54 | +24.5 | Won | |
| Wk 4 | 54 | +24.5 | Won | |
| Wk 3 | 11 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | 11 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 1 | 19 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 19 | 0 | -29.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 18 | 40 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Wk 17 | 0 | -29.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 16 | 13 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 14 | 3 | -26.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 13 | 12 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 12 | 0 | -29.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 11 | 43 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Wk 10 | 0 | -29.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 8 | 40 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Wk 6 | 17 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 5 | 24 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | 0 | -29.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | 7 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | 4 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 1 | 59 | +29.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 24.5 receiving yardsJahan Dotson · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 12 of 16· last season75%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.4Not beating its price | |
| Under 28.5 receiving yardsJahan Dotson · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -113at DraftKings | 12 of 16· last season75%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.6Not beating its price | |
| Under 29.5 receiving yardsJahan Dotson · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 12 of 16· last season75%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 receptionsJahan Dotson · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -160at BetMGM | 13 of 16· last season81%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.4Not beating its price | |
| Under 1.5 receptionsJahan Dotson · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +152at FanDuel | 12 of 16· last season75%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.2Not beating its price | |
| Over 2.5 receptionsJahan Dotson · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 3 of 10· last 10 games30%needs 41% to break even | -26.9Not beating its price | ||
| Over 1.5 receptionsJahan Dotson · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -199at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 67% to break even | -30.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.