This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 50% to break even | 27%–86% | 10 points betterwon 60%, needs 50% | 1.4field goals made |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 50% to break even | 27%–73% | evenwon 50%, needs 50% | 1.5field goals made |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 50% to break even | 28%–67% | 3 points shortwon 47%, needs 50% | 1.5field goals made |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 50% to break even | 22%–78% | evenwon 50%, needs 50% | 1.5field goals made |
| Last season | 5 of 1631% |
Tonight ATL plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against SF. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 5 of 12 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Field goals made in each game against under 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Field goals made | Beat 1.5 by |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
This player's other props in the game.
| 16%–52% |
| 19 points shortwon 31%, needs 50% |
| 1.8field goals made |
| Every game | 8 of 2236%needs 50% to break even | 22%–54% | 14 points shortwon 36%, needs 50% | 1.7field goals made |
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 5 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 3 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 17 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 16 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 15 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 14 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 13 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 12 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 11 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 10 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 8 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 7 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 6 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 5 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| -123at DraftKings |
| 11 of 16· last season69%needs 55% to break even7 of 12 at home |
| Record is last season's |
| -20.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -190at DraftKings |
| 13 of 16· last season81%needs 66% to break even10 of 12 at home |
| Record is last season's |
| -14.6Not beating its price |
| Over 7.5 kicking pointsNick Folk · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +110at BetRivers | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 48% to break even5 of 12 at home | -18.9Not beating its price |
| Under 7.5 kicking pointsNick Folk · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -136at DraftKings | 9 of 16· last season56%needs 58% to break even7 of 12 at home | Record is last season's | -23.0Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 extra points madeNick Folk · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +147at DraftKings | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 40% to break even2 of 12 at home | -24.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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