This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 64% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 64% to break even | 44%–95% | 16 points betterwon 80%, needs 64% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 64% to break even | 35%–81% | 4 points shortwon 60%, needs 64% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 64% to break even | 39%–78% | 4 points shortwon 60%, needs 64% |
| This season | 5 of 683%needs 64% to break even | 50%–96% | 20 points betterwon 83%, needs 64% |
| Last season | 11 of 1765%needs 64% to break even | 45%–81% | 1 points betterwon 65%, needs 64% |
| Every game | 16 of 2370%needs 64% to break even | 52%–83% | 6 points betterwon 70%, needs 64% |
Tonight TEN plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against CLE. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
TEN points in each game against under 20.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | TEN points | Beat 20.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 26 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 3 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 18 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 7 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 20 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 10 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | 7 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | 26 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 26 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 24 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 31 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 3 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | 24 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 13 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 20 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 14 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Oct 19 | 13 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Oct 12 | 10 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Oct 5 | 22 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 28 | 0 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Sep 21 | 20 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 14 | 19 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 7 | 12 | +8.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 17.5 team totalTennessee Titans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 55% to break even | -18.8Not beating its price | ||
| Over 19.5 team totalTennessee Titans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 46% to break even | -18.0Not beating its price | ||
| Over 20.5 team totalTennessee Titans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 42% to break even | -22.2Not beating its price | ||
| Over 21.5 team totalTennessee Titans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 38% to break even | -18.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.