This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 42% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 42% to break even | 5%–56% | 22 points shortwon 20%, needs 42% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 42% to break even | 19%–65% | 2 points shortwon 40%, needs 42% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 42% to break even | 22%–61% | 2 points shortwon 40%, needs 42% |
| This season | 1 of 617%needs 42% to break even | 4%–50% | 25 points shortwon 17%, needs 42% |
| Last season | 6 of 1735%needs 42% to break even | 19%–55% | 6 points shortwon 35%, needs 42% |
| Every game | 7 of 2330%needs 42% to break even | 17%–48% | 11 points shortwon 30%, needs 42% |
Tonight TEN plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against CLE. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
TEN points in each game against over 20.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | TEN points | Beat 20.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 26 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 3 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 18 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 7 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 20 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 10 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | 7 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | 26 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Dec 21 | 26 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 24 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | 31 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 3 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 24 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | 13 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 20 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 14 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 19 | 13 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 12 | 10 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 5 | 22 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 28 | 0 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 21 | 20 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | 19 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 7 | 12 | -8.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 14.5 team totalTennessee Titans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 8 of 17· last season47%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.2Not beating its price | |
| Under 17.5 team totalTennessee Titans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 8 of 17· last season47%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.3Not beating its price | |
| Under 19.5 team totalTennessee Titans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 59% to break even | Record is this season's | -23.2Not beating its price | |
| Under 20.5 team totalTennessee Titans · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 64% to break even | Record is this season's | -17.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.