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NFLPlayer propRushing yards
Cam Ward under 8.5 rushing yards
Won4 of 5last 5 games · 80%
Best price-114FanDuel
Price needs53.3%wins to break even
Every game14 of 23this season and last
Trend score-14.7Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 53% to break even | 44%–95% | 27 points betterwon 80%, needs 53% | 9rushing yards |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 53% to break even | 27%–73% | 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% | 9.8rushing yards |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 53% to break even | 33%–72% | evenwon 53%, needs 53% | 12.3rushing yards |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 53% to break even | 35%–88% | 13 points betterwon 67%, needs 53% | 11rushing yards |
| Last season | 10 of 1759%needs 53% to break even | 39%–76% | 6 points betterwon 59%, needs 53% | 9.4rushing yards |
| Every game | 14 of 2361%needs 53% to break even | 44%–76% | 8 points betterwon 61%, needs 53% | 9.8rushing yards |
Games like tonight
Tonight TEN plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against CLE. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 6 of 12 at home. Tonight: CLE allows 10.7 rushing yards a game to quarterbacks, the 8th fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 17.3): an easy matchup for this bet. How CLE defends quarterbacks
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Cam Ward under 8.5 rushing yards1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Rushing yards in each game against under 8.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Rushing yards | Beat 8.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  IND | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 |  HOU | 2 | +6.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 |  BAL | 27 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 |  NYG | 2 | +6.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 |  PHI | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 |  NYJ | 21 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 |  JAX | 11 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Wk 17 |  NO | 10 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 |  KC | 9 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 |  SF | 2 | +6.5 | Won |
| Wk 14 |  CLE | 4 | +4.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 | JAX | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 12 |  SEA | 37 | -28.5 | Lost |
| Wk 11 | HOU | 33 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 |  LAC | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Wk 8 | IND | 4 | +4.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 |  NE | 0 | +8.5 | Won |
| Wk 6 |  LV | 0 | +8.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 |  ARI | -6 | +14.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | HOU | 22 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | IND | 12 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  LAR | 8 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 |  DEN | 0 | +8.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 8.5 rushing yardsCam Ward · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET |  -114at FanDuel | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 53% to break even6 of 12 at home | -27.3Not beating its price | ||
| Over 9.5 rushing yardsCam Ward · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +102at FanDuel | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 50% to break even5 of 12 at home | -27.3Not beating its price | ||
| Over 10.5 rushing yardsCam Ward · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET |  -120at BetMGM | 5 of 15· last 15 games33%needs 55% to break even4 of 12 at home | -34.3Not beating its price | ||
| Over 14.5 rushing yardsCam Ward · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +194at FanDuel | 4 of 15· last 15 games27%needs 34% to break even3 of 12 at home | -20.8Not beating its price | ||
| Over 19.5 rushing yardsCam Ward · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +320at FanDuel | 4 of 15· last 15 games27%needs 24% to break even3 of 12 at home | -12.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Cam Ward in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scores a TDCam Ward · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET |  +574at Kalshi | 3 of 15· last 15 games20%needs 15% to break even2 of 12 at home | -7.7Not beating its price | ||
| Under 195.5 pass + rush yardsCam Ward · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET |  -114at DraftKings | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 53% to break even6 of 12 at home | Record is this season's | -9.5Not beating its price | |
| Under 192.5 pass + rush yardsCam Ward · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 53% to break even6 of 12 at home | Record is this season's | -9.5Not beating its price | |
| Under 196.5 pass + rush yardsCam Ward · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -115at BetMGM | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 53% to break even6 of 12 at home | Record is this season's | -9.7Not beating its price | |
| Over 35.5 pass attemptsCam Ward · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +224at DraftKings | 8 of 17· last season47%needs 31% to break even6 of 12 at home | Record is last season's | -10.0Not beating its price | |
| Over 19.5 completionsCam Ward · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +131at DraftKings | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 43% to break even8 of 12 at home | Record is last season's | -10.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 18.5 completionsCam Ward · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET |  -105at Fanatics | 11 of 17· last season65%needs 51% to break even10 of 12 at home | Record is last season's | -11.6Not beating its price | |
| Under 197.5 pass + rush yardsCam Ward · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET |  -130at BetRivers | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 57% to break even6 of 12 at home | Record is this season's | -12.2Not beating its price | |
| Over 34.5 pass attemptsCam Ward · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +180at BetMGM | 8 of 17· last season47%needs 36% to break even6 of 12 at home | Record is last season's | -14.0Not beating its price | |
| Over 20.5 completionsCam Ward · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET |  +145at BetOnline | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 41% to break even8 of 12 at home | Record is last season's | -14.0Not beating its price | |
| Over 219.5 passing yardsCam Ward · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +224at DraftKings | 7 of 17· last season41%needs 31% to break even4 of 12 at home | Record is last season's | -15.1Not beating its price | |
| Over 1.5 passing TDsCam Ward · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +280at FanDuel | 3 of 10· last 10 games30%needs 26% to break even2 of 12 at home | -15.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.