This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 48% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 48% to break even | 14%–73% | 8 points shortwon 40%, needs 48% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 48% to break even | 27%–73% | 2 points betterwon 50%, needs 48% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 48% to break even | 33%–72% | 6 points betterwon 53%, needs 48% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 48% to break even | 12%–65% | 14 points shortwon 33%, needs 48% |
| Last season | 11 of 1669%needs 48% to break even | 48%–84% | 21 points betterwon 69%, needs 48% |
| Every game |
Tonight CLE plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against TEN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receptions in each game against over 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receptions | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 receptionsHarold Fannin Jr. |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 39.5 receiving yardsHarold Fannin Jr. |
| 13 of 2259%needs 48% to break even |
| 42%–74% |
| 11 points betterwon 59%, needs 48% |
| Wk 5 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 17 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 16 | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 15 | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Wk 14 | 8 | +4.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 12 | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 11 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 10 | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 8 | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 6 | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| -117at DraftKings |
| 4 of 6· this season67%needs 54% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -22.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +159at Kalshi |
| 9 of 16· last season56%needs 39% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -11.8Not beating its price |
| Over 29.5 receiving yardsHarold Fannin Jr. · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -111at BetMGM | 12 of 16· last season75%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.0Not beating its price |
| Over 30.5 receiving yardsHarold Fannin Jr. · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -111at DraftKings | 11 of 16· last season69%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.6Not beating its price |
| Under 30.5 receiving yardsHarold Fannin Jr. · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -113at DraftKings | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 53% to break even | Record is this season's | -22.9Not beating its price |
| Under 29.5 receiving yardsHarold Fannin Jr. · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -112at BetRivers | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 53% to break even | Record is this season's | -25.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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