This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 53% to break even | 14%–73% | 13 points shortwon 40%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 53% to break even | 35%–81% | 7 points betterwon 60%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 53% to break even | 46%–83% | 14 points betterwon 67%, needs 53% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 53% to break even | 12%–65% | 19 points shortwon 33%, needs 53% |
| Last season | 12 of 1675%needs 53% to break even | 55%–88% | 22 points betterwon 75%, needs 53% |
| Every game | 14 of 2264%needs 53% to break even | 46%–78% | 11 points betterwon 64%, needs 53% |
Tonight CLE plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against TEN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against over 29.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 29.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 9 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 5 | 4 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | 27 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | 51 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Wk 2 | 54 | +24.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 21 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 17 | 30 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 16 | 34 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Wk 15 | 48 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Wk 14 | 114 | +84.5 | Won | |
| Wk 13 | 43 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Wk 12 | 40 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Wk 11 | 26 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 10 | 44 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Wk 8 | 62 | +32.5 | Won | |
| Wk 7 | 36 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Wk 6 | 81 | +51.5 | Won | |
| Wk 5 | 13 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | 24 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | 25 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | 48 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 63 | +33.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 29.5 receiving yardsHarold Fannin Jr. · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -112at BetRivers | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 53% to break even | Record is this season's | -25.7Not beating its price | |
| Under 30.5 receiving yardsHarold Fannin Jr. · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -113at DraftKings | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 53% to break even | Record is this season's | -22.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 receptionsHarold Fannin Jr. · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +110at BetRivers | 11 of 16· last season69%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.5Not beating its price | |
| Under 3.5 receptionsHarold Fannin Jr. · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -117at DraftKings | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 54% to break even | Record is this season's | -22.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.