This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 40% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 40% to break even | 14%–73% | evenwon 40%, needs 40% | 1receptions |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 40% to break even | 7%–46% | 20 points shortwon 20%, needs 40% | 1.5receptions |
| Last 15 games | 2 of 1217%needs 40% to break even | 6%–40% | 23 points shortwon 17%, needs 40% | 1.8receptions |
| This season | 2 of 540%needs 40% to break even | 14%–73% | evenwon 40%, needs 40% | 1receptions |
| Last season | 0 of 70%needs to break even |
Tonight TEN plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against CLE. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 0 of 5 at home. Tonight: CLE allows 10.7 receptions a game to wide receivers, the 12th fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 11.5). How CLE defends wide receivers
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receptions in each game against under 0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
This player's other props in the game.
| 0%–28% |
| 40 points shortwon 0%, needs 40% |
| 2.4receptions |
| Every game | 2 of 1217%needs 40% to break even | 6%–40% | 23 points shortwon 17%, needs 40% | 1.8receptions |
| Wk 4 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 0 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 11 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 6 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 | 5 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 4 | -3.5 | Lost |
| -191at DraftKings |
| 7 of 7· last season100%needs 66% to break even5 of 5 at home |
| Record is last season's |
| -6.7Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 receptionsCalvin Ridley · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | +240at DraftKings | 4 of 7· last season57%needs 29% to break even3 of 5 at home | Record is last season's | -4.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -105at Fanatics |
| 7 of 7· last season100%needs 51% to break even5 of 5 at home |
| Record is last season's |
| 3.5Good |
| Over 8.5 receiving yardsCalvin Ridley · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | -114at FanDuel | 7 of 7· last season100%needs 53% to break even5 of 5 at home | Record is last season's | 2.1Slight |
| Over 14.5 receiving yardsCalvin Ridley · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | +147at DraftKings | 6 of 7· last season86%needs 40% to break even4 of 5 at home | Record is last season's | -0.8Not beating its price |
| Scores a TDCalvin Ridley · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | +1074at Kalshi | 0 of 5· last 5 games0%needs 9% to break even0 of 5 at home | -6.0Not beating its price |
| Over 18.5 receiving yardsCalvin Ridley · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | +119at BetOnline | 5 of 7· last season71%needs 46% to break even4 of 5 at home | Record is last season's | -10.3Not beating its price |
| Over 28.5 receiving yardsCalvin Ridley · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | +162at BetOnline | 5 of 12· last 15 games, 3 skipped42%needs 38% to break even3 of 5 at home | -13.6Not beating its price |
| Under 8.5 receiving yardsCalvin Ridley · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | -109at DraftKings | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 52% to break even0 of 5 at home | -32.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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