This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 29% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 29% to break even | 14%–73% | 11 points betterwon 40%, needs 29% | 1receptions |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 29% to break even | 19%–65% | 11 points betterwon 40%, needs 29% | 1.5receptions |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1250%needs 29% to break even | 29%–71% | 21 points betterwon 50%, needs 29% | 1.8receptions |
| This season | 2 of 540%needs 29% to break even | 14%–73% | 11 points betterwon 40%, needs 29% | 1receptions |
| Last season | 4 of 757%needs 29% to break even | 29%–81% | 28 points betterwon 57%, needs 29% | 2.4receptions |
| Every game | 6 of 1250%needs 29% to break even | 29%–71% | 21 points betterwon 50%, needs 29% | 1.8receptions |
Tonight TEN plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against CLE. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 3 of 5 at home. Tonight: CLE allows 10.7 receptions a game to wide receivers, the 12th fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 11.5). How CLE defends wide receivers
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Receptions in each game against over 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 receptionsCalvin Ridley · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | +150at BetOnline | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 40% to break even0 of 5 at home | -24.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 9.5 receiving yardsCalvin Ridley · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | -105at Fanatics | 7 of 7· last season100%needs 51% to break even5 of 5 at home | Record is last season's | 3.5Good | |
| Over 8.5 receiving yardsCalvin Ridley · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | -114at FanDuel | 7 of 7· last season100%needs 53% to break even5 of 5 at home | Record is last season's | 2.1Slight | |
| Over 14.5 receiving yardsCalvin Ridley · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | +147at DraftKings | 6 of 7· last season86%needs 40% to break even4 of 5 at home | Record is last season's | -0.8Not beating its price | |
| Scores a TDCalvin Ridley · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | +1074at Kalshi | 0 of 5· last 5 games0%needs 9% to break even0 of 5 at home | -6.0Not beating its price | ||
| Over 18.5 receiving yardsCalvin Ridley · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | +119at BetOnline | 5 of 7· last season71%needs 46% to break even4 of 5 at home | Record is last season's | -10.3Not beating its price | |
| Over 28.5 receiving yardsCalvin Ridley · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | +162at BetOnline | 5 of 12· last 15 games, 3 skipped42%needs 38% to break even3 of 5 at home | -13.6Not beating its price | ||
| Under 8.5 receiving yardsCalvin Ridley · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | -109at DraftKings | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 52% to break even0 of 5 at home | -32.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.