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NFLPlayer propReceiving yards
Gunnar Helm under 9.5 receiving yards
Won5 of 10last 10 games · 50%
Best price+129Kalshi
Price needs43.7%wins to break even
Every game6 of 21this season and last
Trend score-21.2Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 44% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 44% to break even | 14%–73% | 4 points shortwon 40%, needs 44% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 44% to break even | 27%–73% | 6 points betterwon 50%, needs 44% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 44% to break even | 17%–54% | 10 points shortwon 33%, needs 44% |
| This season | 2 of 540%needs 44% to break even | 14%–73% | 4 points shortwon 40%, needs 44% |
| Last season | 4 of 1625%needs 44% to break even | 12%–45% | 19 points shortwon 25%, needs 44% |
| Every game | 6 of 2129%needs 44% to break even | 16%–46% | 15 points shortwon 29%, needs 44% |
Games like tonight
Tonight TEN plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against CLE. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Gunnar Helm under 9.5 receiving yards1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Receiving yards in each game against under 9.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 9.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 5 |  HOU | 0 | +9.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 |  BAL | 5 | +4.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 |  NYG | 14 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  PHI | 13 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 |  NYJ | 28 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 17 |  NO | 1 | +8.5 | Won |
| Wk 16 |  KC | 9 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 15 |  SF | 49 | -39.5 | Lost |
| Wk 14 |  CLE | 8 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 |  JAX | 23 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Wk 12 |  SEA | 51 | -41.5 | Lost |
| Wk 11 | HOU | 29 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 |  LAC | 15 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Wk 8 |  IND | 23 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 |  NE | 36 | -26.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 |  LV | 15 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 |  ARI | 34 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 | HOU | 12 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | IND | 27 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  LAR | 9 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 |  DEN | 16 | -6.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 9.5 receiving yardsGunnar Helm · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |  -168at Kalshi | 12 of 16· last season75%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.1Not beating its price | |
| Over 14.5 receiving yardsGunnar Helm · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 11 of 16· last season69%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.0Not beating its price | |
| Over 15.5 receiving yardsGunnar Helm · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |  -107at DraftKings | 9 of 16· last season56%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.7Not beating its price | |
| Over 19.5 receiving yardsGunnar Helm · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 8 of 16· last season50%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Gunnar Helm in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 receptionsGunnar Helm · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |  +167at BetOnline | 7 of 16· last season44%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.0Not beating its price | |
| Over 1.5 receptionsGunnar Helm · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 11 of 16· last season69%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.0Not beating its price | |
| Under 2.5 receptionsGunnar Helm · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |  -172at FanDuel | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 63% to break even | -18.4Not beating its price | ||
| Under 1.5 receptionsGunnar Helm · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 42% to break even | -20.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.