This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 63% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 63% to break even | 44%–95% | 17 points betterwon 80%, needs 63% |
| Last 10 games | 9 of 1090%needs 63% to break even | 65%–98% | 27 points betterwon 90%, needs 63% |
| Last 15 games | 13 of 1587%needs 63% to break even | 67%–95% | 24 points betterwon 87%, needs 63% |
| This season | 5 of 683%needs 63% to break even | 50%–96% | 21 points betterwon 83%, needs 63% |
| Last season | 15 of 1694%needs 63% to break even | 76%–99% |
Tonight TEN plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against CLE. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against over 9.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 9.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 3 | -6.5 | ||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 9.5 receiving yardsElic Ayomanor |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 receptionsElic Ayomanor |
| Every game | 20 of 2291%needs 63% to break even | 76%–97% | 28 points betterwon 91%, needs 63% |
| Lost |
| Wk 5 | 17 | +7.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | 22 | +12.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | 11 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 69 | +59.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 11 | +1.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 50 | +40.5 | Won | |
| Wk 17 | 37 | +27.5 | Won |
| Wk 16 | 58 | +48.5 | Won |
| Wk 15 | 17 | +7.5 | Won |
| Wk 14 | 14 | +4.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 | 5 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Wk 11 | 11 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 9 | 46 | +36.5 | Won |
| Wk 8 | 52 | +42.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 | 29 | +19.5 | Won |
| Wk 6 | 27 | +17.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 | 18 | +8.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | 44 | +34.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | 38 | +28.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 56 | +46.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 13 | +3.5 | Won |
| +129at Kalshi |
| 1 of 5· last 5 games20%needs 44% to break even |
| -33.0Not beating its price |
| Under 12.5 receiving yardsElic Ayomanor · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -111at DraftKings | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 53% to break even | Record is this season's | -31.8Not beating its price |
| Under 14.5 receiving yardsElic Ayomanor · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 55% to break even | -31.2Not beating its price |
| Under 19.5 receiving yardsElic Ayomanor · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 66% to break even | Record is this season's | -30.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +158at FanDuel |
| 13 of 16· last season81%needs 39% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -10.3Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 receptionsElic Ayomanor · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -170at DraftKings | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 63% to break even | Record is this season's | -25.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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