This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 35% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 35% to break even | 5%–56% | 15 points shortwon 20%, needs 35% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 35% to break even | 19%–65% | 5 points betterwon 40%, needs 35% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 35% to break even | 22%–61% | 5 points betterwon 40%, needs 35% |
| This season | 1 of 617%needs 35% to break even | 4%–50% | 18 points shortwon 17%, needs 35% |
| Last season | 10 of 1663%needs 35% to break even | 42%–79% | 28 points betterwon 63%, needs 35% |
| Every game |
Tonight TEN plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against CLE. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against over 24.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 24.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 3 | |||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 9.5 receiving yardsElic Ayomanor |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 receptionsElic Ayomanor |
| 11 of 2250%needs 35% to break even |
| 33%–67% |
| 15 points betterwon 50%, needs 35% |
| -21.5 |
| Lost |
| Wk 5 | 17 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 | 22 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 11 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 69 | +44.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 11 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 50 | +25.5 | Won | |
| Wk 17 | 37 | +12.5 | Won |
| Wk 16 | 58 | +33.5 | Won |
| Wk 15 | 17 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Wk 14 | 14 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 | 5 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Wk 11 | 11 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 | 46 | +21.5 | Won |
| Wk 8 | 52 | +27.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 | 29 | +4.5 | Won |
| Wk 6 | 27 | +2.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 | 18 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 | 44 | +19.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | 38 | +13.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 56 | +31.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 13 | -11.5 | Lost |
| +134at Kalshi |
| 1 of 5· last 5 games20%needs 43% to break even |
| -32.2Not beating its price |
| Under 12.5 receiving yardsElic Ayomanor · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -111at DraftKings | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 53% to break even | Record is this season's | -31.8Not beating its price |
| Under 14.5 receiving yardsElic Ayomanor · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 55% to break even | -31.2Not beating its price |
| Under 19.5 receiving yardsElic Ayomanor · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 65% to break even | Record is this season's | -29.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +158at FanDuel |
| 13 of 16· last season81%needs 39% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -10.3Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 receptionsElic Ayomanor · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -170at DraftKings | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 63% to break even | Record is this season's | -25.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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