This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 51% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 51% to break even | 27%–86% | 9 points betterwon 60%, needs 51% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 51% to break even | 44%–87% | 19 points betterwon 70%, needs 51% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 51% to break even | 39%–78% | 9 points betterwon 60%, needs 51% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 51% to break even | 22%–78% | 1 points shortwon 50%, needs 51% |
| Last season | 12 of 1675%needs 51% to break even | 55%–88% | 24 points betterwon 75%, needs 51% |
| Every game | 15 of 2268%needs 51% to break even | 51%–82% | 17 points betterwon 68%, needs 51% |
Tonight TEN plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against CLE. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against over 14.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 14.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 3 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 5 | 17 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Wk 4 | 22 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Wk 3 | 11 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | 69 | +54.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 11 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 50 | +35.5 | Won | |
| Wk 17 | 37 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Wk 16 | 58 | +43.5 | Won | |
| Wk 15 | 17 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Wk 14 | 14 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 13 | 5 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 11 | 11 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 9 | 46 | +31.5 | Won | |
| Wk 8 | 52 | +37.5 | Won | |
| Wk 7 | 29 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Wk 6 | 27 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Wk 5 | 18 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Wk 4 | 44 | +29.5 | Won | |
| Wk 3 | 38 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Wk 2 | 56 | +41.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 13 | -1.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 9.5 receiving yardsElic Ayomanor · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 1 of 5· last 5 games20%needs 43% to break even | -32.2Not beating its price | ||
| Under 12.5 receiving yardsElic Ayomanor · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -111at DraftKings | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 53% to break even | Record is this season's | -31.8Not beating its price | |
| Under 14.5 receiving yardsElic Ayomanor · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 55% to break even | -31.2Not beating its price | ||
| Under 19.5 receiving yardsElic Ayomanor · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 65% to break even | Record is this season's | -29.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 receptionsElic Ayomanor · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +158at FanDuel | 13 of 16· last season81%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.3Not beating its price | |
| Under 1.5 receptionsElic Ayomanor · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -170at DraftKings | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 63% to break even | Record is this season's | -25.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.