This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 53% to break even | 14%–73% | 13 points shortwon 40%, needs 53% | 61.2receiving yards |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 650%needs 53% to break even | 22%–78% | 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% | 57.3receiving yards |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 650%needs 53% to break even | 22%–78% | 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% | 57.3receiving yards |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 53% to break even | 22%–78% | 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% | 57.3receiving yards |
| Every game | 3 of 650% |
Tonight TEN plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against CLE. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Tonight: CLE allows 155.3 receiving yards a game to wide receivers, the 12th most of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 150.3). How CLE defends wide receivers
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against under 51.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
This player's other props in the game.
| 22%–78% |
| 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% |
| 57.3receiving yards |
| 58 |
| -6.5 |
| Lost |
| Wk 2 | 27 | +24.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 38 | +13.5 | Won |
| -195at BetRivers |
| 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 66% to break even |
| -22.8Not beating its price |
| Over 42.5 receiving yardsCarnell Tate · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -185at BetOnline | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 65% to break even | -22.1Not beating its price |
| Over 49.5 receiving yardsCarnell Tate · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -120at BetRivers | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 55% to break even | -16.5Not beating its price |
| Over 50.5 receiving yardsCarnell Tate · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -115at BetRivers | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 53% to break even | -15.9Not beating its price |
| Over 51.5 receiving yardsCarnell Tate · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -115at BetMGM | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 53% to break even | -15.9Not beating its price |
| Over 52.5 receiving yardsCarnell Tate · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -111at DraftKings | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 53% to break even | -15.4Not beating its price |
| Over 59.5 receiving yardsCarnell Tate · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +128at DraftKings | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 44% to break even | -16.9Not beating its price |
| Over 62.5 receiving yardsCarnell Tate · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +116at BetOnline | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 46% to break even | -18.3Not beating its price |
| Over 69.5 receiving yardsCarnell Tate · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +200at DraftKings | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 33% to break even | -11.2Not beating its price |
| Over 72.5 receiving yardsCarnell Tate · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +152at BetOnline | 1 of 5· last 5 games20%needs 40% to break even | -19.4Not beating its price |
| Over 82.5 receiving yardsCarnell Tate · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +199at BetOnline | 1 of 5· last 5 games20%needs 33% to break even | -16.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +198at DraftKings |
| 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 34% to break even |
| -5.0Not beating its price |
| Scores a TDCarnell Tate · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +337at Polymarket | 1 of 5· last 5 games20%needs 23% to break even | -10.2Not beating its price |
| Over 4.5 receptionsCarnell Tate · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +105at BetOnline | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 49% to break even | -13.3Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 receptionsCarnell Tate · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 40% to break even | -14.7Not beating its price |
| Under 4.5 receptionsCarnell Tate · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -122at DraftKings | 3 of 6· last 10 games, 4 skipped50%needs 55% to break even | -19.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.