This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 23% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 23% to break even | 5%–56% | 3 points shortwon 20%, needs 23% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 617%needs 23% to break even | 4%–50% | 7 points shortwon 17%, needs 23% |
| Last 15 games | 1 of 617%needs 23% to break even | 4%–50% | 7 points shortwon 17%, needs 23% |
| This season | 1 of 617%needs 23% to break even | 4%–50% | 7 points shortwon 17%, needs 23% |
| Every game | 1 of 617%needs 23% to break even | 4%–50% | 7 points shortwon 17%, needs 23% |
Tonight TEN plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against CLE. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Tonight: CLE allows 1.2 touchdowns a game to wide receivers, the 6th most of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 0.9): an easy matchup for this bet. How CLE defends wide receivers
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every Carnell Tate game, newest first: whether Tate scored a touchdown.
This player's other props in the game.
| Wk 1 | No TD | Lost |
| +198at DraftKings |
| 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 34% to break even |
| -5.0Not beating its price |
| Over 69.5 receiving yardsCarnell Tate · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +200at DraftKings | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 33% to break even | -11.2Not beating its price |
| Under 39.5 receiving yardsCarnell Tate · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 3 of 6· last 10 games, 4 skipped50%needs 40% to break even | -11.4Not beating its price |
| Over 4.5 receptionsCarnell Tate · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +105at BetOnline | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 49% to break even | -13.3Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 receptionsCarnell Tate · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 40% to break even | -14.7Not beating its price |
| Over 52.5 receiving yardsCarnell Tate · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -111at DraftKings | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 53% to break even | -15.4Not beating its price |
| Over 50.5 receiving yardsCarnell Tate · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -115at BetRivers | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 53% to break even | -15.9Not beating its price |
| Over 51.5 receiving yardsCarnell Tate · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -115at BetMGM | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 53% to break even | -15.9Not beating its price |
| Over 82.5 receiving yardsCarnell Tate · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +199at BetOnline | 1 of 5· last 5 games20%needs 33% to break even | -16.0Not beating its price |
| Under 49.5 receiving yardsCarnell Tate · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 3 of 6· last 10 games, 4 skipped50%needs 49% to break even | -16.4Not beating its price |
| Under 59.5 receiving yardsCarnell Tate · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 4 of 6· last 10 games, 4 skipped67%needs 62% to break even | -16.5Not beating its price |
| Over 49.5 receiving yardsCarnell Tate · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -120at BetRivers | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 55% to break even | -16.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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