This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 7% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 7% to break even | 0%–35% | 7 points shortwon 0%, needs 7% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 7% to break even | 2%–35% | 3 points betterwon 10%, needs 7% |
| Last 15 games | 2 of 1513%needs 7% to break even | 5%–33% | 6 points betterwon 13%, needs 7% |
| This season | 0 of 60%needs 7% to break even | 0%–31% | 7 points shortwon 0%, needs 7% |
| Last season | 2 of 1315%needs 7% to break even | 5%–37% | 8 points betterwon 15%, needs 7% |
| Every game | 2 of 1911%needs 7% to break even | 4%–27% | 3 points betterwon 11%, needs 7% |
Tonight TEN plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against CLE. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 1 of 8 at home. Tonight: CLE allows 0.7 touchdowns a game to tight ends, the 10th most of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 0.5): an easy matchup for this bet. How CLE defends tight ends
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every Daniel Bellinger game, newest first: whether Bellinger scored a touchdown.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| This season | |||
| Wk 6 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 5 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 1 | No TD | Lost | |
| Last season | |||
| Wk 18 | 1 TD | Won | |
| Wk 17 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 15 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 12 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 11 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 10 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 8 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 7 | 1 TD | Won | |
| Wk 5 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 1 | No TD | Lost | |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 9.5 receiving yardsDaniel Bellinger · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +105at Fanatics | 8 of 13· last season62%needs 49% to break even3 of 8 at home | Record is last season's | -22.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.