This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 44% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 44% to break even | 14%–73% | 4 points shortwon 40%, needs 44% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 44% to break even | 19%–65% | 4 points shortwon 40%, needs 44% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 44% to break even | 22%–61% | 4 points shortwon 40%, needs 44% |
| This season | 2 of 540%needs 44% to break even | 14%–73% | 4 points shortwon 40%, needs 44% |
| Last season | 8 of 1747%needs 44% to break even | 29%–66% | 3 points betterwon 47%, needs 44% |
| Every game | 10 of 2245%needs 44% to break even | 29%–62% | 2 points betterwon 45%, needs 44% |
Tonight CIN plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against BAL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
CIN points in each game against under 21.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | CIN points | Beat 21.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 11 | 31 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 17 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 27 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 20 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 33 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | 18 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | 37 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 45 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 0 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | 34 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 27 | 32 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 20 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | 12 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 42 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 38 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 16 | 33 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 12 | 18 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 5 | 24 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 29 | 3 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Sep 21 | 10 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Sep 14 | 31 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 7 | 17 | +4.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 21.5 team totalCincinnati Bengals · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 65% to break even | -24.7Not beating its price | ||
| Over 24.5 team totalCincinnati Bengals · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 51% to break even | -14.6Not beating its price | ||
| Over 28.5 team totalCincinnati Bengals · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 36% to break even | -7.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.