This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 42% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 42% to break even | 27%–86% | 18 points betterwon 60%, needs 42% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 42% to break even | 27%–73% | 8 points betterwon 50%, needs 42% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 42% to break even | 22%–61% | 2 points shortwon 40%, needs 42% |
| This season | 3 of 560%needs 42% to break even | 27%–86% | 18 points betterwon 60%, needs 42% |
| Last season | 4 of 1724%needs 42% to break even | 11%–43% | 19 points shortwon 24%, needs 42% |
| Every game | 7 of 2232%needs 42% to break even | 18%–49% | 10 points shortwon 32%, needs 42% |
Tonight CIN plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against BAL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against cin -2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 11 | 7 | |||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 54.5 game total, CIN gamesCincinnati Bengals · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |
| +4.5 |
| Won |
| Oct 4 | -5 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | -3 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 14 | +11.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 6 | +3.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | -2 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | 23 | +20.5 | Won |
| Dec 21 | 24 | +21.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 | -24 | -26.5 | Lost |
| Dec 7 | -5 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Nov 27 | 18 | +15.5 | Won |
| Nov 23 | -6 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Nov 16 | -22 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Nov 2 | -5 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Oct 26 | -1 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Oct 16 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 12 | -9 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Oct 5 | -13 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Sep 29 | -25 | -27.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 | -38 | -40.5 | Lost |
| Sep 14 | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 7 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| 8 of 17· last season47%needs 36% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -6.8Not beating its price |
| Over 28.5 team totalCincinnati Bengals · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 36% to break even | -7.2Not beating its price |
| CIN -0.5 2nd quarter spreadCincinnati Bengals · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 46% to break even | -8.6Not beating its price |
| Over 53.5 game total, CIN gamesCincinnati Bengals · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 8 of 17· last season47%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.8Not beating its price |
| CIN -2.5 1st half spreadCincinnati Bengals · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 44% to break even | -8.9Not beating its price |
| CIN -3.5 1st half spreadCincinnati Bengals · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 37% to break even | -9.6Not beating its price |
| CIN +2.5 1st quarter spreadCincinnati Bengals · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -158at Polymarket | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 61% to break even | -9.8Not beating its price |
| Over 50.5 game total, CIN gamesCincinnati Bengals · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 45% to break even | -10.1Not beating its price |
| CIN +2.5 1st half spreadCincinnati Bengals · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -139at Polymarket | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 58% to break even | -10.4Not beating its price |
| Over 10.5 1st half team totalCincinnati Bengals · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -119at Polymarket | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 54% to break even | -10.5Not beating its price |
| Over 52.5 game total, CIN gamesCincinnati Bengals · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +143at Polymarket | 8 of 17· last season47%needs 41% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.9Not beating its price |
| CIN -1.5 1st half spreadCincinnati Bengals · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +116at Polymarket | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 46% to break even | -11.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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