This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 53% to break even | 27%–86% | 7 points betterwon 60%, needs 53% | 7kicking points |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 53% to break even | 35%–81% | 7 points betterwon 60%, needs 53% | 7.5kicking points |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 53% to break even | 28%–67% | 7 points shortwon 47%, needs 53% | 8.1kicking points |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 53% to break even | 22%–78% | 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% | 7.7kicking points |
| Last season | 8 of 1747%needs 53% to break even | 29%–66% | 6 points shortwon 47%, needs 53% | 7.9kicking points |
| Every game | 11 of 2348%needs 53% to break even | 32%–64% | 5 points shortwon 48%, needs 53% | 7.8kicking points |
Tonight BAL plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against CIN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 7 of 11 at home.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Kicking points in each game against under 7.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Kicking points | Beat 7.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 4 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Wk 5 | 10 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | 6 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 3 | 10 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 11 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 6 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 17 | 11 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 16 | 6 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 15 | 6 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 14 | 10 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 13 | 2 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Wk 12 | 11 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 11 | 11 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 10 | 13 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 9 | 4 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Wk 8 | 12 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 6 | 3 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Wk 5 | 4 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Wk 4 | 8 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | 6 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 2 | 11 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 1 | 10 | -2.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 7.5 kicking pointsTyler Loop · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -112at DraftKings | 9 of 17· last season53%needs 53% to break even4 of 11 at home | Record is last season's | -22.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 extra points madeTyler Loop · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -104at DraftKings | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 51% to break even5 of 11 at home | -17.7Not beating its price | ||
| Under 1.5 field goals madeTyler Loop · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -105at BetMGM | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 51% to break even7 of 11 at home | -18.8Not beating its price | ||
| Over 1.5 field goals madeTyler Loop · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -120at DraftKings | 9 of 17· last season53%needs 55% to break even4 of 11 at home | Record is last season's | -23.8Not beating its price | |
| Under 2.5 extra points madeTyler Loop · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -120at BetMGM | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 55% to break even6 of 11 at home | -24.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.