This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 53% to break even | 14%–73% | 13 points shortwon 40%, needs 53% | 7kicking points |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 53% to break even | 19%–65% | 13 points shortwon 40%, needs 53% | 7.5kicking points |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 53% to break even | 33%–72% | 1 points betterwon 53%, needs 53% | 8.1kicking points |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 53% to break even | 22%–78% | 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% | 7.7kicking points |
| Last season |
Tonight BAL plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against CIN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 4 of 11 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Kicking points in each game against over 7.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Kicking points | Beat 7.5 by |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
This player's other props in the game.
| 34%–71% |
| evenwon 53%, needs 53% |
| 7.9kicking points |
| Every game | 12 of 2352%needs 53% to break even | 36%–68% | 1 points shortwon 52%, needs 53% | 7.8kicking points |
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 4 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 5 | 10 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Wk 4 | 6 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | 10 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Wk 2 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 1 | 11 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 6 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 17 | 11 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Wk 16 | 6 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 15 | 6 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 14 | 10 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Wk 13 | 2 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 12 | 11 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Wk 11 | 11 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Wk 10 | 13 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Wk 9 | 4 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 8 | 12 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Wk 6 | 3 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 5 | 4 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | 8 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 3 | 6 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | 11 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 10 | +2.5 | Won | |
| -114at DraftKings |
| 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 53% to break even7 of 11 at home |
| -20.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -104at DraftKings |
| 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 51% to break even5 of 11 at home |
| -17.7Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 field goals madeTyler Loop · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -105at BetMGM | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 51% to break even7 of 11 at home | -18.8Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 field goals madeTyler Loop · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -120at DraftKings | 9 of 17· last season53%needs 55% to break even4 of 11 at home | Record is last season's | -23.8Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 extra points madeTyler Loop · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -120at BetMGM | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 55% to break even6 of 11 at home | -24.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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