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NFLPlayer propAnytime TD
Justice Hill scores a TD
Won2 of 10last season · 20%
Best price+650DraftKings
Price needs13.3%wins to break even
Every game2 of 16this season and last
Trend score-7.8Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 13% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 13% to break even | 0%–35% | 13 points shortwon 0%, needs 13% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 13% to break even | 2%–35% | 3 points shortwon 10%, needs 13% |
| Last 15 games | 2 of 1513%needs 13% to break even | 5%–33% | evenwon 13%, needs 13% |
| This season | 0 of 60%needs 13% to break even | 0%–31% | 13 points shortwon 0%, needs 13% |
| Last season | 2 of 1020%needs 13% to break even | 7%–46% | 7 points betterwon 20%, needs 13% |
| Every game | 2 of 1613%needs 13% to break even | 4%–32% | 1 points shortwon 13%, needs 13% |
Games like tonight
Tonight BAL plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against CIN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 0 of 8 at home. Tonight: CIN allows 0.6 touchdowns a game to running backs, the 6th fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 0.9): a tough matchup for this bet. How CIN defends running backs
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Justice Hill scores a TD10 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Every Justice Hill game, newest first: whether Hill scored a touchdown.
