This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 40% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 40% to break even | 5%–56% | 20 points shortwon 20%, needs 40% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 40% to break even | 2%–35% | 30 points shortwon 10%, needs 40% |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1520%needs 40% to break even | 8%–41% | 20 points shortwon 20%, needs 40% |
| This season | 1 of 425%needs 40% to break even | 6%–64% | 15 points shortwon 25%, needs 40% |
| Last season | 4 of 1822%needs 40% to break even | 10%–41% | 17 points shortwon 22%, needs 40% |
| Every game |
Tonight PHI plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against DAL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against over 79.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 79.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 69.5 receiving yardsDeVonta Smith |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scores a TDDeVonta Smith · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET |
| 12%–40% |
| 17 points shortwon 23%, needs 40% |
| 75 |
| -4.5 |
| Lost |
| Wk 3 | 65 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 117 | +37.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 53 | -26.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 19 | 70 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 18 | 52 | -27.5 | Lost |
| Wk 17 | 25 | -54.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 | 42 | -37.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 | 50 | -29.5 | Lost |
| Wk 14 | 37 | -42.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 | 48 | -31.5 | Lost |
| Wk 12 | 89 | +9.5 | Won |
| Wk 11 | 8 | -71.5 | Lost |
| Wk 10 | 69 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Wk 8 | 84 | +4.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 | 183 | +103.5 | Won |
| Wk 6 | 49 | -30.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 | 114 | +34.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | 29 | -50.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 60 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 53 | -26.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 16 | -63.5 | Lost |
| -137at Kalshi |
| 13 of 18· last season72%needs 58% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -17.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +181at Kalshi |
| 2 of 4· this season50%needs 36% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -18.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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