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NFLPlayer propAnytime TD
DeVonta Smith Anytime TD: Yes
Won2 of 4this season · 50%
Best price+173Kalshi
Price needs36.6%wins to break even
Every game6 of 22this season and last
Trend score-18.9Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 37% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 37% to break even | 14%–73% | 3 points betterwon 40%, needs 37% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 37% to break even | 13%–56% | 7 points shortwon 30%, needs 37% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 37% to break even | 13%–48% | 10 points shortwon 27%, needs 37% |
| This season | 2 of 450%needs 37% to break even | 18%–82% | 13 points betterwon 50%, needs 37% |
| Last season | 4 of 1822%needs 37% to break even | 10%–41% | 14 points shortwon 22%, needs 37% |
| Every game | 6 of 2227%needs 37% to break even | 15%–45% | 9 points shortwon 27%, needs 37% |
Games like tonight
Tonight PHI plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against DAL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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DeVonta Smith Anytime TD: Yes1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Anytime TD in each game against yes, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Anytime TD | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  CAR | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 |  CHI | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  TEN | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 |  WSH | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 19 |  SF | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 18 | WSH | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 17 |  BUF | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 | WSH | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 15 |  LV | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 14 |  LAC | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 | CHI | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 12 |  DAL | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 11 |  DET | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 10 |  GB | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 8 |  NYG | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 |  MIN | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 6 | NYG | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 |  DEN | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 |  TB | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 |  LAR | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 |  KC | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | DAL | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on DeVonta Smith in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 69.5 receiving yardsDeVonta Smith · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ETListed questionable |  -137at Kalshi | 13 of 18· last season72%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.0Not beating its price | |
| Over 69.5 receiving yardsDeVonta Smith · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ETListed questionable | +105at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 49% to break even | -25.7Not beating its price | ||
| Over 79.5 receiving yardsDeVonta Smith · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ETListed questionable | +152at Kalshi | 4 of 18· last season22%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.