This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 48% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 48% to break even | 44%–95% | 32 points betterwon 80%, needs 48% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 48% to break even | 35%–81% | 12 points betterwon 60%, needs 48% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 48% to break even | 39%–78% | 12 points betterwon 60%, needs 48% |
| This season | 4 of 580%needs 48% to break even | 44%–95% | 32 points betterwon 80%, needs 48% |
| Last season | 7 of 1741%needs 48% to break even | 24%–61% | 6 points shortwon 41%, needs 48% |
Tonight ARI plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against DEN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against over 15.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 15.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 28 | |||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 12.5 receiving yardsElijah Higgins |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 receptionsElijah Higgins |
| Every game | 11 of 2250%needs 48% to break even | 33%–67% | 2 points betterwon 50%, needs 48% |
| +12.5 |
| Won |
| Wk 5 | 57 | +41.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | 19 | +3.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | 20 | +4.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 0 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 28 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Wk 17 | 0 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 | 91 | +75.5 | Won |
| Wk 15 | 3 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Wk 14 | 0 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 | 17 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 12 | 0 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Wk 11 | 11 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Wk 10 | 19 | +3.5 | Won |
| Wk 9 | 30 | +14.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 | 3 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 | 34 | +18.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 | 10 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 | 0 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 7 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 45 | +29.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 3 | -12.5 | Lost |
| -114at FanDuel |
| 10 of 17· last season59%needs 53% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -24.2Not beating its price |
| Under 14.5 receiving yardsElijah Higgins · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | -109at DraftKings | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.3Not beating its price |
| Under 15.5 receiving yardsElijah Higgins · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | -150at Fanatics | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +100at BetOnline |
| 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 50% to break even |
| -9.0Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 receptionsElijah Higgins · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | +103at DraftKings | 8 of 17· last season47%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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