This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 49% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 49% to break even | 27%–86% | 11 points betterwon 60%, needs 49% | 0.9sacks |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 49% to break even | 19%–65% | 9 points shortwon 40%, needs 49% | 0.6sacks |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1443%needs 49% to break even | 24%–64% | 6 points shortwon 43%, needs 49% | 0.5sacks |
| This season | 3 of 560%needs 49% to break even | 27%–86% | 11 points betterwon 60%, needs 49% | 0.9sacks |
| Last season |
Tonight PIT plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against NO. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 5 of 8 on the road.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Sacks in each game against over 0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Sacks | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
| 20%–61% |
| 10 points shortwon 38%, needs 49% |
| 0.5sacks |
| Every game | 8 of 1844%needs 49% to break even | 27%–63% | 4 points shortwon 44%, needs 49% | 0.6sacks |
| 0 |
| -0.5 |
| Lost |
| Wk 4 | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 1.5 | +1 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 12 | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 10 | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 9 | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 8 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 | 0.5 | 0 | Tie |
| Wk 6 | 0.5 | 0 | Tie |
| Wk 4 | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
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