This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 58% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 475%needs 58% to break even | 36%–94% | 17 points betterwon 75%, needs 58% | 1.1sacks |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 978%needs 58% to break even | 50%–92% | 20 points betterwon 78%, needs 58% | 1.1sacks |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1471%needs 58% to break even | 49%–86% | 14 points betterwon 71%, needs 58% | 0.9sacks |
| This season | 3 of 560%needs 58% to break even | 27%–86% | 2 points betterwon 60%, needs 58% | 0.9sacks |
| Last season |
Tonight NO plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against PIT. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 5 of 7 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Sacks in each game against over 0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Sacks | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 1.5 | |||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
| 48%–89% |
| 15 points betterwon 73%, needs 58% |
| 0.8sacks |
| Every game | 11 of 1669%needs 58% to break even | 48%–84% | 11 points betterwon 69%, needs 58% | 0.9sacks |
| +1 |
| Won |
| Wk 5 | 0.5 | 0 | Tie |
| Wk 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 1.5 | +1 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 1.5 | +1 | Won | |
| Wk 17 | 1.5 | +1 | Won |
| Wk 16 | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 15 | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 12 | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 10 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 8 | 1.5 | +1 | Won |
| Wk 7 | 0.5 | 0 | Tie |
| Wk 6 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
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