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NFLPlayer propRushing yards
Tyler Shough over 16.5 rushing yards
Won8 of 15last 15 games · 53%
Best price-106DraftKings
Price needs51.5%wins to break even
Every game8 of 17this season and last
Trend score-19.2Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 51% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 51% to break even | 27%–86% | 9 points betterwon 60%, needs 51% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 51% to break even | 27%–73% | 1 points shortwon 50%, needs 51% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 51% to break even | 33%–72% | 2 points betterwon 53%, needs 51% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 51% to break even | 22%–78% | 1 points shortwon 50%, needs 51% |
| Last season | 5 of 1145%needs 51% to break even | 24%–68% | 6 points shortwon 45%, needs 51% |
| Every game | 8 of 1747%needs 51% to break even | 29%–66% | 4 points shortwon 47%, needs 51% |
Games like tonight
Tonight NO plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against PIT. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Tyler Shough over 16.5 rushing yards2 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Rushing yards in each game against over 16.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Rushing yards | Beat 16.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  NYG | 32 | +15.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 |  MIN | 0 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 |  ATL | 5 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 |  LV | 36 | +19.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 |  BAL | 23 | +6.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 |  DET | 8 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | ATL | 34 | +17.5 | Won |
| Wk 17 |  TEN | 6 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 |  NYJ | 8 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 |  CAR | 32 | +15.5 | Won |
| Wk 14 |  TB | 55 | +38.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 |  MIA | 18 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 12 | ATL | 22 | +5.5 | Won |
| Wk 10 | CAR | -3 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 |  LAR | 2 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Wk 8 | TB | 12 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 |  SEA | 0 | -16.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 9.5 rushing yardsTyler Shough · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET |  +152at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 40% to break even | -12.5Not beating its price | ||
| Under 13.5 rushing yardsTyler Shough · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET |  -114at FanDuel | 6 of 11· last season55%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.6Not beating its price | |
| Under 14.5 rushing yardsTyler Shough · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET | -116at Kalshi | 6 of 11· last season55%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.9Not beating its price | |
| Under 16.5 rushing yardsTyler Shough · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET |  -118at DraftKings | 6 of 11· last season55%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.2Not beating its price | |
| Under 19.5 rushing yardsTyler Shough · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET | -199at Kalshi | 7 of 11· last season64%needs 67% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Tyler Shough in this game
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.