This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 43% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 43% to break even | 14%–73% | 3 points shortwon 40%, needs 43% | 2.2field goals made |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 43% to break even | 7%–46% | 23 points shortwon 20%, needs 43% | 2.1field goals made |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 43% to break even | 17%–54% | 10 points shortwon 33%, needs 43% | 1.7field goals made |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 43% to break even | 12%–65% | 10 points shortwon 33%, needs 43% | 2.2field goals made |
| Last season | 7 of 1839% |
Tonight PIT plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against NO. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 6 of 11 on the road.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Field goals made in each game against under 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Field goals made |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
This player's other props in the game.
| 23%–58% |
| 5 points shortwon 39%, needs 43% |
| 1.6field goals made |
| Every game | 9 of 2438%needs 43% to break even | 23%–54% | 6 points shortwon 38%, needs 43% | 1.8field goals made |
| Beat 1.5 by |
|---|
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 5 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 3 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 19 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 18 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 17 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 16 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 15 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 14 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 13 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 12 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 11 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 10 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 9 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 8 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 7 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 6 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 3 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 2 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 1 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| -163at DraftKings |
| 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 62% to break even5 of 11 on the road |
| -17.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +131at DraftKings |
| 10 of 18· last season56%needs 43% to break even6 of 11 on the road |
| Record is last season's |
| -17.8Not beating its price |
| Over 7.5 kicking pointsChris Boswell · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ET | -124at BetRivers | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 55% to break even4 of 11 on the road | -18.7Not beating its price |
| Under 7.5 kicking pointsChris Boswell · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ET | +105at DraftKings | 9 of 18· last season50%needs 49% to break even7 of 11 on the road | Record is last season's | -22.3Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 extra points madeChris Boswell · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ET | -165at BetMGM | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 62% to break even5 of 11 on the road | -24.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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